CHP blogazine


Posted on April 4, 2020


Dr. Neil Rau and Dr. Susan Richardson | National Post | March 15, 2020. Why draconian measures may not work: Two experts say we should prioritize those at risk from COVID-19 than to try to contain the uncontainable. 

"We should instead be targeting significant resources toward the protection of those at highest risk (the elderly, those with underlying chronic diseases and those with immune-compromising conditions) and maintaining a healthy, robust, responsive health-care system that can handle a potential surge. The economic and social costs of pursuing quarantine are staggering and actually counter-productive."

Dr. David L. Katz | New York Times | March 20, 2020. Is Our Fight Against Coronavirus Worse Than the Disease? There may be more targeted ways to beat the pandemic. 

"I am deeply concerned that the social, economic and public health consequences of this near total meltdown of normal life — schools and businesses closed, gatherings banned — will be long lasting and calamitous, possibly graver than the direct toll of the virus itself. The stock market will bounce back in time, but many businesses never will. The unemployment, impoverishment and despair likely to result will be public health scourges of the first order. Worse, I fear our efforts will do little to contain the virus, because we have a resource-constrained, fragmented, perennially underfunded public health system. Distributing such limited resources so widely, so shallowly and so haphazardly is a formula for failure."

Terence Corcoran | Financial Post | April 4, 2020. We are at the mercy of two data problems with COVID-19 response. 

"The leading science behind the COVID-19 effort is epidemiology. The second is economics. Neither discipline should be counted on to provide solid forecasts on the future course of life and death or GDP growth. Both fields are hotbeds of conflict and contradiction. Yet both are now being called on by politicians to justify their actions."

Terence Corcoran | Financial Post | March 20, 2020. The soaring costs of COVID-19 pandenomics. 

"The stated objective of the economic shutdowns is to stop the spread of a disease that could kill hundreds of thousands of people. But hundreds of thousands die every year from other causes that do not prompt a mandatory economic shutdown. The World Health Organization, one of the orchestrators of COVID-19 pandenomic programs, estimates that 1.35 million die annually from traffic accidents around the world, including nearly 40,000 a year in the United States and more than 2,000 in Canada. Whatever the total government spending number, it will be dwarfed by the dollar value of the damage done to the world economy by the collective actions of the world’s political leaders as they orchestrate the greatest deliberate peacetime attack on economic activity."

Terence Corcoran | Financial Post | March 18, 2020. Flattening the economy to control COVID-19 will have limited benefits at high costs. 

"The economic control experiment could take many months, even longer. Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, has been saying for some time that tens of millions of Americans and many more around the world can be expected to contract COVID-19 over the coming year and into 2021. The disease will spread, no matter how draconian the economic curtailment, he said the other day, and could affect 25 to 60 per cent of the U.S. population before the end of the year. Canada would be caught in the same web. China’s apparent control over the virus is misleading, says Osterholm. As soon as Chinese citizens are released from their police-state quarantined lives, the COVID virus will begin to reappear."

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CHP blogazine